This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 66% to break even | 65%–100% | 34 points betterwon 100%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 66% to break even | 65%–98% | 24 points betterwon 90%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 66% to break even | 59%–92% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 66% to break even | 69%–100% | 34 points betterwon 100%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 21 of 3462%needs 66% to break even | 48%–74% | 4 points shortwon 62%, needs 66% |
| Every game | 27 of 4068%needs 66% to break even | 55%–78% | 1 points betterwon 68%, needs 66% |
Tonight FCA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, FCA gamesAugsburg · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalAugsburg · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | WOB | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | HDH | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | STP | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | WOB | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | HDH | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | STP | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 13 of 34· last season38%needs 37% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -25.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, FCA gamesAugsburg · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | -145at Polymarket | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -37.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 62% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -8.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalAugsburg · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | +193at Polymarket | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 34% to break even | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalAugsburg · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | -223at Polymarket | 29 of 34· last season85%needs 69% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.8Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalAugsburg · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | +131at Polymarket | 19 of 34· last season56%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.7Not beating its price |
| FCA to win moneylineAugsburg · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | -115at BetMGM | 12 of 34· last season35%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.1Not beating its price |
| FCA -0.5 spreadAugsburg · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | LVG-115at LowVig | 12 of 34· last season35%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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