This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 69% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 69% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points shortwon 60%, needs 69% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 69% to break even | 27%–73% | 19 points shortwon 50%, needs 69% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 69% to break even | 46%–83% | 2 points shortwon 67%, needs 69% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 69% to break even | 22%–78% | 19 points shortwon 50%, needs 69% |
| Last season | 29 of 3485%needs 69% to break even | 73%–93% | 16 points betterwon 85%, needs 69% |
| Every game | 32 of 4080%needs 69% to break even | 68%–88% | 11 points betterwon 80%, needs 69% |
Tonight FCA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
FCA goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalAugsburg · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, FCA gamesAugsburg · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | FCA goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | WOB | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | HDH | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | STP | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | WOB | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | HDH | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | STP | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 62% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -8.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalAugsburg · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | +193at Polymarket | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 34% to break even | -15.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 44% to break even |
| 2.0Slight |
| Over 2.5 game total, FCA gamesAugsburg · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | -195at Polymarket | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 66% to break even | Record is this season's | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, FCA gamesAugsburg · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | +169at Polymarket | 13 of 34· last season38%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.4Not beating its price |
| FCA to win moneylineAugsburg · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | -115at BetMGM | 12 of 34· last season35%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.1Not beating its price |
| FCA -0.5 spreadAugsburg · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | LVG-115at LowVig | 12 of 34· last season35%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.1Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, FCA gamesAugsburg · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | -145at Polymarket | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -37.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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