This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 53% to break even | 5%–56% | 33 points shortwon 20%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 53% to break even | 19%–65% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 53% to break even | 17%–54% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 53% to break even | 12%–65% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 12 of 3435%needs 53% to break even | 23%–49% | 18 points shortwon 35%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 14 of 4035%needs 53% to break even | 24%–48% | 18 points shortwon 35%, needs 53% |
Tonight FCA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against fca -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, FCA gamesAugsburg · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | WOB | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | HDH | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | STP | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | WOB | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | HDH | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | STP | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 44% to break even |
| 2.0Slight |
| Over 2.5 game total, FCA gamesAugsburg · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | -195at Polymarket | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 66% to break even | Record is this season's | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalAugsburg · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | -164at Polymarket | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalAugsburg · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | +193at Polymarket | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 34% to break even | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalAugsburg · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | -223at Polymarket | 29 of 34· last season85%needs 69% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.8Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, FCA gamesAugsburg · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | +169at Polymarket | 13 of 34· last season38%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.4Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalAugsburg · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | +131at Polymarket | 19 of 34· last season56%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.7Not beating its price |
| FCA to win moneylineAugsburg · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | -115at BetMGM | 12 of 34· last season35%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.1Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, FCA gamesAugsburg · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | -145at Polymarket | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -37.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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