Villarreal vs Valencia Odds (Oct 24): Spread, Total & Trends · The Daily Hit

La LigaSat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET

Away

Villarreal

45% to win · best +120

Home

Valencia

29% to win · best +240

SpreadTotalTo win

VIL-0.5+119LVG

VAL+0.5-135

Books

45%29%

Polymarket

44%29%

Kalshi

45%30%

Average

45%29%

+8.5 spread: that team can lose by up to 8 and the bet still winsO 47.5 total: wins if the two teams score 48 or more combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →

Prices

Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for. A small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean

Book	Moneyline			Spread		Total
Book	VIL	VAL	Draw	VIL -0.5	VAL +0.5	O 2.5	U 2.5
Chance it wins	44.6%fair odds +124	29.4%fair odds +240	26.0%fair odds +285	43.9%fair odds +128	56.1%fair odds -128	55.3%fair odds -124	44.7%fair odds +124
Edge at the best price	-1.8%Normal	0.0%Normal	+3.8%Great price	-3.9%Normal	-2.3%Normal	-3.4%Normal	-3.5%Normal

Before you bet

Who's hurt, the weather, rest and recent form. Injuries can change up to game time.

Mestalla Stadium · ManisesPlayoff series: VIL leads 3-0-2

VILAway · 2-3-4 overall

Last 5: WLWTL
Rest: 3 daysShort rest
Injuries: None listed

No one on the injury report.

Season averages

Goal Difference: 0
Total Goals: 13
Assists: 9
Goals Against: 13

Before you bet

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Trends

Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend ignores the opponent, and some are luck.

Every trend in this game

No bet in this game is winning more often than its price needs right now.

Bets not beating their price (10) they've won less often than their price needs

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Trend score
Over 3.5 game total, VIL gamesVillarreal	+193at Polymarket	6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 34% to break even	-5.3Not beating its price
Over 2.5 team totalValencia	+539at Polymarket	5 of 38· last season13%needs 16% to break even
Under 2.5 game total, VAL gamesValencia
Over 3.5 game total, VAL gamesValencia	+193at Polymarket	5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 34% to break even
Over 1.5 team totalVillarreal	-101at Polymarket	23 of 38· last season61%needs to break even
VAL to win moneylineValencia
Under 2.5 team totalValencia	-772at Polymarket	9 of 9· this season100%needs 89% to break even
VIL to win moneylineVillarreal
Under 2.5 game total, VIL gamesVillarreal
Under 1.5 team totalVillarreal	-119at Polymarket	15 of 38· last season39%needs 54% to break even

Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.

Trends

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Prediction markets

On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.

PolymarketTrade ↗

VIL44.3%

VAL29.4%

$530 available at this price$3,800 available at this price

VAL 29.5%, no change today$4K traded · VAL win chance, last 24 hours
$203 traded today · $195K in open orders

PolymarketTrade ↗

VIL44.3%

VAL29.4%

no history$4K traded · VAL win chance, last 24 hours
$203 traded today · $195K in open orders

KalshiTrade ↗

VIL45.0%

VAL29.5%

$23,300 available at this price$6,800 available at this price

VAL 29.5%, no change todayabout $4K traded · VAL win chance, last 24 hours
about $2K traded today

KalshiTrade ↗

VIL45.0%

VAL29.5%

no historyabout $4K traded · VAL win chance, last 24 hours
about $2K traded today

Every number

Polymarket and Kalshi sell the spread and total at every number, not just the one most books use. Each row shows the chance that bet wins, from their prices, and the best price on each side at any book, sportsbooks' alternate lines and fees included.

Spread

Bet	Chance	Best price	Other side, best price
VIL +1.5	88% chance	-851	VAL -1.5+637
VIL -1.5	23% chance	+319	VAL +1.5-373

Total

Bet	Chance	Best price	Other side, best price
Over 1.5	79% chance	-396	Under 1.5+337
Over 2.5Most books' number	55% chance	-134$1,800 available at this price	Under 2.5

Sharp money

Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.

Money tradedabout $8K

$4K traded

about $4K traded

Riding on it now$8Kpaid out when the game ends

Sharp money, last 24 hoursNoneno trades of $10,000 or more

Big trades show here from 36 hours before the start.

"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works