This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 36% to break even | 27%–86% | 24 points betterwon 60%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 36% to break even | 19%–65% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 36% to break even | 13%–48% | 9 points shortwon 27%, needs 36% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 36% to break even | 19%–71% | 7 points betterwon 43%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 8 of 3821%needs 36% to break even | 12%–34% | 15 points shortwon 21%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 11 of 4524%needs 36% to break even | 16%–36% | 11 points shortwon 24%, needs 36% |
Tonight SAS plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAZ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, SAS gamesSassuolo · Tue, Oct 27, 1:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAS to win moneylineSassuolo · Tue, Oct 27, 1:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 16 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | VER | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | PIS | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 | CRE | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | PIS | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | VER | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | CRE | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| 17 of 38· last season45%needs 48% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -30.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 14 of 38· last season37%needs 34% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -18.1Not beating its price |
| SAS 0 spreadSassuolo · Tue, Oct 27, 1:30 PM ET | PIN+111at Pinnacle | 14 of 31· last season45%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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