This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 333%needs 47% to break even | 8%–75% | 14 points shortwon 33%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 825%needs 47% to break even | 9%–54% | 22 points shortwon 25%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1242%needs 47% to break even | 22%–64% | 6 points shortwon 42%, needs 47% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 47% to break even | 14%–73% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 14 of 3145%needs 47% to break even | 31%–60% | 2 points shortwon 45%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 16 of 3644%needs 47% to break even | 32%–58% | 3 points shortwon 44%, needs 47% |
Tonight SAS plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAZ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against sas 0, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 16 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 18 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 29 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 17 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 8 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 17 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 15 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | VER | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Feb 15 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | PIS | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Jan 25 | CRE | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Jan 17 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 28 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 21 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 6 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | PIS | 0 | 0 | Tie |
| Nov 9 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 3 | VER | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | CRE | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, SAS gamesSassuolo · Tue, Oct 27, 1:30 PM ET | -130at Bovada | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 game total, SAS gamesSassuolo · Tue, Oct 27, 1:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even | -16.5Not beating its price | ||
| SAS to win moneylineSassuolo · Tue, Oct 27, 1:30 PM ET | PIN+195at Pinnacle | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 game total, SAS gamesSassuolo · Tue, Oct 27, 1:30 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 17 of 38· last season45%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.