This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 50% to break even | 19%–65% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 50% to break even | 22%–61% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 50% to break even | 19%–71% | 7 points shortwon 43%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 20 of 3853%needs 50% to break even | 40%–65% | 3 points betterwon 53%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 23 of 4551%needs 50% to break even | 39%–63% | 2 points betterwon 51%, needs 50% |
Tonight GEN plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against VEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, GEN gamesGenoa · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalGenoa · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | PIS | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | VER | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | CRE | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | PIS | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | VER | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | CRE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even |
| -19.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 58% to break even |
| -3.0Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalGenoa · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +112at Polymarket | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.7Not beating its price |
| GEN to win moneylineGenoa · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | PIN+116at Pinnacle | 10 of 38· last season26%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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