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Won9 of 10last 10 games · 90%
Best price-139Polymarket
Price needs58.2%wins to break even
Every game30 of 45this season and last
Trend score-3.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 58% to break even | 44%–95% | 22 points betterwon 80%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 58% to break even | 65%–98% | 32 points betterwon 90%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 58% to break even | 59%–92% | 22 points betterwon 80%, needs 58% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 58% to break even | 55%–97% | 28 points betterwon 86%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 24 of 3863%needs 58% to break even | 50%–75% | 5 points betterwon 63%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 30 of 4567%needs 58% to break even | 54%–77% | 9 points betterwon 67%, needs 58% |
Games like tonight
Tonight GEN plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against VEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Under 1.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
GEN goals in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | GEN goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  ROMA | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  FIO | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  PAR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  FRO | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 |  COMO | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  LAZ | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 |  NAP | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 |  LEC | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 17 |  MIL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 10 | FIO | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 2 |  ATA | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | COMO | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | PIS | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  SAS | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 |  JUV | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  UDI | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 | VER | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | ROMA | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 |  INT | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 |  TOR | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | CRE | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 | NAP | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 | LAZ | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 |  BOL | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 | PAR | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 12 |  CAG | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 8 | MIL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | PIS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | ROMA | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | ATA | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | INT | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 8 | UDI | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | VER | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | CAG | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | FIO | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | SAS | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | CRE | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | TOR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | PAR | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | NAP | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 29 | LAZ | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | BOL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 15 | COMO | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 31 | JUV | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 | LEC | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalGenoa · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |  +112at Polymarket | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Genoa in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, GEN gamesGenoa · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |  -112at BetRivers | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even | -19.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 game total, GEN gamesGenoa · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | PIN+102at Pinnacle | 20 of 38· last season53%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.1Not beating its price | |
| GEN to win moneylineGenoa · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | PIN+116at Pinnacle | 10 of 38· last season26%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.