This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 58% to break even | 14%–73% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 58% to break even | 27%–73% | 8 points shortwon 50%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 58% to break even | 33%–72% | 4 points shortwon 53%, needs 58% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 58% to break even | 29%–81% | evenwon 57%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 14 of 3837%needs 58% to break even | 25%–50% | 21 points shortwon 37%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 18 of 4540%needs 58% to break even | 29%–52% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
Tonight ROMA plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against CAG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, ROMA gamesAS Roma · Tue, Oct 27, 3:45 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROMA -1.5 spreadAS Roma · Tue, Oct 27, 3:45 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | VER | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | PIS | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | CRE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | CRE | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | VER | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | PIS | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| 24 of 38· last season63%needs 47% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -14.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 50% to break even |
| -18.3Not beating its price |
| ROMA to win moneylineAS Roma · Tue, Oct 27, 3:45 PM ET | -265at Bovada | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 73% to break even | -24.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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