This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 50% to break even | 35%–81% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 50% to break even | 39%–78% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 50% to break even | 29%–81% | 8 points betterwon 57%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 14 of 3837%needs 50% to break even | 25%–50% | 13 points shortwon 37%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 18 of 4540%needs 50% to break even | 29%–52% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
Tonight ROMA plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against CAG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against roma -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, ROMA gamesAS Roma · Tue, Oct 27, 3:45 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | VER | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | PIS | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | CRE | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | CRE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | VER | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | PIS | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 24 of 38· last season63%needs 47% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -14.2Not beating its price |
| ROMA to win moneylineAS Roma · Tue, Oct 27, 3:45 PM ET | -265at Bovada | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 73% to break even | -24.6Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, ROMA gamesAS Roma · Tue, Oct 27, 3:45 PM ET | -136at Bovada | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 58% to break even | -28.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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