This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 49% to break even | 5%–56% | 29 points shortwon 20%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 49% to break even | 19%–65% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 49% to break even | 28%–67% | 2 points shortwon 47%, needs 49% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 49% to break even | 10%–59% | 20 points shortwon 29%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 24 of 3863%needs 49% to break even | 50%–75% | 14 points betterwon 63%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 26 of 4558%needs 49% to break even | 46%–69% | 9 points betterwon 58%, needs 49% |
Tonight LEC plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against JUV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, LEC gamesLecce · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEC to win moneylineLecce · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | PIS | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | VER | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 20 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | CRE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | PIS | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | CRE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | VER | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even |
| -16.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 12% to break even |
| 7.3Good |
| LEC +1 spreadLecce · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +120at BetUS | 18 of 28· last season64%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
| LEC +1.5 spreadLecce · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 28 of 38· last season74%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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