This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 12% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 12% to break even | 14%–73% | 28 points betterwon 40%, needs 12% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 12% to break even | 27%–73% | 38 points betterwon 50%, needs 12% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 12% to break even | 22%–61% | 28 points betterwon 40%, needs 12% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 12% to break even | 19%–71% | 31 points betterwon 43%, needs 12% |
| Last season | 10 of 3826%needs 12% to break even | 16%–39% | 15 points betterwon 26%, needs 12% |
| Every game | 13 of 4529%needs 12% to break even | 19%–41% | 17 points betterwon 29%, needs 12% |
Tonight LEC plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against JUV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against lec to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEC +1 spreadLecce · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| Margin |
|---|
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | PIS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | VER | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | CRE | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 16 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | PIS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | CRE | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | VER | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 18 of 28· last season64%needs 45% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -6.3Not beating its price |
| LEC +1.5 spreadLecce · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 28 of 38· last season74%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.4Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, LEC gamesLecce · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | PRX-115at betPARX | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, LEC gamesLecce · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at BetUS | 24 of 38· last season63%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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