This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 54% to break even | 5%–56% | 34 points shortwon 20%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 54% to break even | 19%–65% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 54% to break even | 17%–54% | 21 points shortwon 33%, needs 54% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 54% to break even | 19%–71% | 11 points shortwon 43%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 15 of 3839%needs 54% to break even | 28%–53% | 15 points shortwon 39%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 18 of 4540%needs 54% to break even | 29%–52% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% |
Tonight ATA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against FRO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ata to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalAtalanta BC · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | VER | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | CRE | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | PIS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | VER | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | CRE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | PIS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| 24 of 38· last season63%needs 40% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -2.7Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, ATA gamesAtalanta BC · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -122at Bovada | 31 of 38· last season82%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, ATA gamesAtalanta BC · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +202at Polymarket | 24 of 38· last season63%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalAtalanta BC · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -223at Polymarket | 33 of 38· last season87%needs 69% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.1Not beating its price |
| ATA -1.5 spreadAtalanta BC · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +193at Polymarket | 8 of 38· last season21%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalAtalanta BC · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +177at Polymarket | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 36% to break even | -27.1Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, ATA gamesAtalanta BC · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +110at BetUS | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 48% to break even | -32.3Not beating its price |
| ATA -0.5 spreadAtalanta BC · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | LVG-120at LowVig | 15 of 38· last season39%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.3Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalAtalanta BC · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -187at Polymarket | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -40.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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