This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 34% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 34% to break even | 13%–56% | 4 points shortwon 30%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 34% to break even | 8%–41% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 34% to break even | 10%–59% | 5 points shortwon 29%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 7 of 3818%needs 34% to break even | 10%–31% | 15 points shortwon 18%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 9 of 4520%needs 34% to break even | 12%–31% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% |
Tonight MIL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against BOL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, MIL gamesAC Milan · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL to win moneylineAC Milan · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | VER | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | CRE | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 18 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 13 | PIS | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | VER | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | PIS | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | CRE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| 21 of 38· last season55%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -22.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 20 of 38· last season53%needs 61% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -30.1Not beating its price |
| MIL -1 spreadAC Milan · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET | +108at Bovada | 2 of 5· this season40%needs 48% to break even | Record is this season's | -32.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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