This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 50% to break even | 27%–73% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 50% to break even | 39%–78% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 50% to break even | 29%–81% | 7 points betterwon 57%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 21 of 3855%needs 50% to break even | 42%–68% | 6 points betterwon 55%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 25 of 4556%needs 50% to break even | 43%–67% | 6 points betterwon 56%, needs 50% |
Tonight BOL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, BOL gamesBologna · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOL +1 spreadBologna · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 11 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | CRE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | VER | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 2 | PIS | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 23 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | VER | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | CRE | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | PIS | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 17 of 38· last season45%needs 55% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -25.9Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, BOL gamesBologna · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 34% to break even | -17.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 24 of 31· last season77%needs 55% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -2.1Not beating its price |
| BOL to win moneylineBologna · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET | +456at Kalshi | 16 of 38· last season42%needs 18% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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