This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 475%needs 55% to break even | 36%–94% | 20 points betterwon 75%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 786%needs 55% to break even | 55%–97% | 30 points betterwon 86%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1275%needs 55% to break even | 51%–90% | 20 points betterwon 75%, needs 55% |
| This season | 3 of 475%needs 55% to break even | 36%–94% | 20 points betterwon 75%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 24 of 3177%needs 55% to break even | 63%–87% | 22 points betterwon 77%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 27 of 3577%needs 55% to break even | 64%–87% | 22 points betterwon 77%, needs 55% |
Tonight BOL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against bol +1, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOL to win moneylineBologna · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -1 by | Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 6 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 24 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| May 17 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| May 11 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| May 3 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | CRE | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Mar 22 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | VER | -1 | 0 | Tie |
| Mar 2 | PIS | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Feb 23 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 3 | -3 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 18 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 15 | VER | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Jan 10 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | CRE | -2 | -1 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +4 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 2 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 2 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | PIS | 4 | +5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| 16 of 38· last season42%needs 18% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -2.9Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, BOL gamesBologna · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET | PIN+101at Pinnacle | 21 of 38· last season55%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.3Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, BOL gamesBologna · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 34% to break even | -17.0Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, BOL gamesBologna · Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET | PIN-120at Pinnacle | 17 of 38· last season45%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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