This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 450%needs 57% to break even | 18%–82% | 7 points shortwon 50%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 650%needs 57% to break even | 22%–78% | 7 points shortwon 50%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1136%needs 57% to break even | 18%–61% | 20 points shortwon 36%, needs 57% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 57% to break even | 14%–73% | 17 points shortwon 40%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 14 of 3244%needs 57% to break even | 30%–58% | 13 points shortwon 44%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 16 of 3743%needs 57% to break even | 31%–57% | 13 points shortwon 43%, needs 57% |
Tonight COMO plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against SAS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against como -1, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 4 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | CRE | 3 | +2 | Won |
| May 17 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 10 | VER | 1 | 0 | Tie |
| May 2 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 17 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | PIS | 5 | +4 | Won |
| Mar 15 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 18 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 6 | +5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | PIS | 3 | +2 | Won |
| Jan 3 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 27 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | VER | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | CRE | 0 | -1 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 15 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.