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TOR -1.5 (spread)
Won3 of 5last 5 games · 60%
Best price+152Kalshi
Price needs39.7%wins to break even
Every game22 of 95this season and last
Trend score-21.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 40% to break even | 27%–86% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% | won by 1.8goals |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 40% to break even | 19%–65% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% | won by 1goals |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 40% to break even | 13%–48% | 13 points shortwon 27%, needs 40% | won by 0.4goals |
| This season | 4 of 1331%needs 40% to break even | 15%–54% | 9 points shortwon 31%, needs 40% | won by 0.7goals |
| Last season | 18 of 8222%needs 40% to break even | 15%–30% | 18 points shortwon 22%, needs 40% | lost by 0.6goals |
| Every game | 22 of 9523%needs 40% to break even | 17%–31% | 17 points shortwon 23%, needs 40% | lost by 0.4goals |
Games like tonight
Tonight TOR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CGY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 11 of 46 on the road.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
TOR -1.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against TOR -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 |  EDM | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 |  NYR | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 20 |  CBJ | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 |  SJ | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 17 |  NYI | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 15 |  BUF | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 13 |  UTAH | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  COL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 8 |  VGK | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 6 |  NSH | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  OTT | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 30 | NYI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 29 |  MTL | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | OTT | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 13 |  DAL | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 11 |  FLA | -4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 | NYI | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 8 |  WSH | -4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 |  LA | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 2 | SJ | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  ANA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 28 |  STL | -4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 | NYR | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 24 |  BOS | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 | OTT | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  CAR | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 17 | NYI | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 |  MIN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 | BUF | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 | ANA | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 | MTL | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 |  TB | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 | NYR | -4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 |  NJ | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 2 |  PHI | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | OTT | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 | FLA | -4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Feb 25 | TB | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 | EDM | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 2 |  CGY | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 |  VAN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 |  SEA | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 27 | BUF | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 | COL | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 23 | VGK | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 21 |  DET | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 | MIN | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 |  WPG | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | VGK | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | UTAH | -5 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 12 | COL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 | VAN | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 8 | PHI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 | FLA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | NYI | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 | WPG | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 30 | NJ | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 | DET | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | OTT | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 |  PIT | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | DAL | -4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | NSH | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | WSH | -4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 16 |  CHI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 13 | EDM | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 11 | SJ | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 8 | TB | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | MTL | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 4 | CAR | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 2 | FLA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | PIT | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | WSH | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | CBJ | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | MTL | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | CBJ | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 | STL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | CHI | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 13 | LA | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 11 | BOS | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | CAR | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | BOS | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | UTAH | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | PIT | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | PHI | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | CBJ | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | CGY | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | BUF | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | BUF | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 | NJ | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | SEA | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 16 | NYR | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 14 | NSH | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 13 | DET | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | DET | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 8 | MTL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Toronto Maple Leafs in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.