This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 58% to break even | 5%–56% | 38 points shortwon 20%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 58% to break even | 13%–56% | 28 points shortwon 30%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 58% to break even | 22%–61% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| This season | 4 of 1136%needs 58% to break even | 18%–61% | 22 points shortwon 36%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 43 of 8849%needs 58% to break even | 40%–58% | 9 points shortwon 49%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 47 of 9947%needs 58% to break even | 39%–56% | 11 points shortwon 47%, needs 58% |
Tonight PIT plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NSH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against pit to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 29 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 7 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 game total, PIT gamesPittsburgh Penguins · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 35% to break even | -10.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 6.5 game total, PIT gamesPittsburgh Penguins · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 48 of 88· last season55%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 5.5 game total, PIT gamesPittsburgh Penguins · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 30 of 88· last season34%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 game total, PIT gamesPittsburgh Penguins · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -195at Polymarket | 58 of 88· last season66%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 6.5 game total, PIT gamesPittsburgh Penguins · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 40 of 88· last season45%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.