This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 58% to break even | 14%–73% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 58% to break even | 27%–73% | 8 points shortwon 50%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 58% to break even | 39%–78% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% |
| This season | 4 of 944%needs 58% to break even | 22%–70% | 13 points shortwon 44%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 55 of 10154%needs 58% to break even | 46%–62% | 3 points shortwon 54%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 59 of 11054%needs 58% to break even | 46%–61% | 4 points shortwon 54%, needs 58% |
Tonight MTL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
MTL goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 team totalMontreal Canadiens · Today 8:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 game total, MTL gamesMontreal Canadiens · Today 8:00 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | MTL goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 29 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 27 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 21 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 12 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 6 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 46 of 101· last season46%needs 49% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -19.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 49% to break even |
| -3.4Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 game total, MTL gamesMontreal Canadiens · Today 8:00 PM ET | -151at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 60% to break even | -11.8Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 game total, MTL gamesMontreal Canadiens · Today 8:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 40 of 101· last season40%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.6Not beating its price |
| MTL -1.5 spreadMontreal Canadiens · Today 8:00 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 29 of 101· last season29%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.0Not beating its price |
| MTL to win moneylineMontreal Canadiens · Today 8:00 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 57 of 101· last season56%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.4Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 game total, MTL gamesMontreal Canadiens · Today 8:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 51 of 101· last season50%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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