This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 59% to break even | 27%–86% | 1 points betterwon 60%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 59% to break even | 19%–65% | 19 points shortwon 40%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 59% to break even | 22%–61% | 19 points shortwon 40%, needs 59% |
| This season | 4 of 944%needs 59% to break even | 22%–70% | 14 points shortwon 44%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 57 of 10156%needs 59% to break even | 48%–64% | 2 points shortwon 56%, needs 59% |
| Every game | 61 of 11055%needs 59% to break even | 48%–63% | 3 points shortwon 55%, needs 59% |
Tonight MTL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against mtl to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 game total, MTL gamesMontreal Canadiens · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 29 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| May 27 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| May 25 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 23 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 21 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| May 18 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| May 16 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| May 12 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| May 8 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| May 6 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| May 1 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 14 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Nov 6 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 49% to break even |
| -3.4Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 game total, MTL gamesMontreal Canadiens · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 61% to break even | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 team totalMontreal Canadiens · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 46 of 101· last season46%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.4Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalMontreal Canadiens · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 31 of 101· last season31%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price |
| MTL -0.5 1st period spreadMontreal Canadiens · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 35 of 101· last season35%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.3Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 team totalMontreal Canadiens · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 55 of 101· last season54%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.4Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 game total, MTL gamesMontreal Canadiens · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 40 of 101· last season40%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.9Not beating its price |
| MTL -1.5 spreadMontreal Canadiens · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 29 of 101· last season29%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.0Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 game total, MTL gamesMontreal Canadiens · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 51 of 101· last season50%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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