This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 56% to break even | 0%–35% | 56 points shortwon 0%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 56% to break even | 13%–56% | 26 points shortwon 30%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 56% to break even | 17%–54% | 23 points shortwon 33%, needs 56% |
| This season | 3 of 1225%needs 56% to break even | 10%–49% | 31 points shortwon 25%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 57 of 10455%needs 56% to break even | 47%–63% | 2 points shortwon 55%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 60 of 11652%needs 56% to break even | 44%–59% | 5 points shortwon 52%, needs 56% |
Tonight VGK plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against CBJ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 2 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 14 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jun 11 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 9 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 6 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 4 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 2 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 26 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 22 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 20 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 6 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 15 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 2 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 1 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 game total, VGK gamesVegas Golden Knights · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 58% to break even | -0.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 6.5 game total, VGK gamesVegas Golden Knights · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 48% to break even | -0.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK -1.5 spreadVegas Golden Knights · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 34% to break even | -12.4Not beating its price | ||
| VGK to win moneylineVegas Golden Knights · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 56% to break even | -17.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 2.5 team totalVegas Golden Knights · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 34 of 104· last season33%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 team totalVegas Golden Knights · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 44 of 104· last season42%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 team totalVegas Golden Knights · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 60 of 104· last season58%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.