This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 34% to break even | 27%–86% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 34% to break even | 19%–65% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 34% to break even | 17%–54% | 1 points shortwon 33%, needs 34% |
| This season | 5 of 1242%needs 34% to break even | 22%–64% | 8 points betterwon 42%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 31 of 10430%needs 34% to break even | 23%–38% | 4 points shortwon 30%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 36 of 11631%needs 34% to break even | 24%–38% | 3 points shortwon 31%, needs 34% |
Tonight VGK plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against CBJ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against vgk -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 2 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 14 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 11 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 9 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 4 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 20 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 6 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 15 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.