This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 41% to break even | 5%–56% | 21 points shortwon 20%, needs 41% | lost by 0.4goals |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 41% to break even | 2%–35% | 31 points shortwon 10%, needs 41% | lost by 0.7goals |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 41% to break even | 13%–48% | 14 points shortwon 27%, needs 41% | lost by 0.3goals |
| This season | 1 of 119%needs 41% to break even | 2%–32% | 32 points shortwon 9%, needs 41% | lost by 0.6goals |
| Last season | 28 of 8234%needs 41% to break even | 26%–43% | 7 points shortwon 34%, needs 41% | levelgoals |
| Every game | 29 of 9331%needs 41% to break even | 24%–40% | 9 points shortwon 31%, needs 41% | lost by 0.1goals |
Tonight FLA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 14 of 49 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1st period margin in each game against FLA -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1st period margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 1 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.