This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 66% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points shortwon 60%, needs 66% | won by 0.4goals |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 66% to break even | 19%–65% | 26 points shortwon 40%, needs 66% | lost by 0.4goals |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 66% to break even | 33%–72% | 12 points shortwon 53%, needs 66% | won by 0.3goals |
| This season | 5 of 1145%needs 66% to break even | 24%–68% | 20 points shortwon 45%, needs 66% | lost by 0.3goals |
| Last season | 40 of 8249%needs 66% to break even | 40%–58% | 17 points shortwon 49%, needs 66% | lost by 0.3goals |
| Every game | 45 of 9348%needs 66% to break even | 40%–57% | 17 points shortwon 48%, needs 66% | lost by 0.3goals |
Tonight FLA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 20 of 49 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against FLA to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 1 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 17 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 7 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 game total, FLA gamesFlorida Panthers · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 6 of 11· this season55%needs 46% to break even17 of 49 on the road | Record is this season's | -18.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 6.5 game total, FLA gamesFlorida Panthers · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 40 of 82· last season49%needs 56% to break even22 of 49 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 6.5 game total, FLA gamesFlorida Panthers · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 42 of 82· last season51%needs 51% to break even27 of 49 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 game total, FLA gamesFlorida Panthers · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 50 of 82· last season61%needs 61% to break even32 of 49 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.