This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 54% to break even | 14%–73% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% | 1points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 54% to break even | 27%–73% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% | 0.8points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 54% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 54% | 0.8points |
| This season | 2 of 367%needs 54% to break even | 25%–92% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 54% | 0.7points |
| Last season | 29 of 67 |
Tonight OTT plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NYR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 14 of 35 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 34%–53% |
| 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 54% |
| 0.8points |
| Every game | 31 of 7044%needs 54% to break even | 35%–54% | 9 points shortwon 44%, needs 54% | 0.8points |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| -110at Fanatics |
| 38 of 67· last season57%needs 52% to break even21 of 35 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -21.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +7000at DraftKings |
| 1 of 10· last 10 games10%needs 1% to break even1 of 35 at home |
| -0.4Not beating its price |
| Scores a goalJake Sanderson · Today 7:08 PM ET | +575at Fanatics | 13 of 67· last season19%needs 15% to break even4 of 35 at home | Record is last season's | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 power-play pointsJake Sanderson · Today 7:08 PM ET | +175at Bovada | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 36% to break even11 of 35 at home | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsJake Sanderson · Today 7:08 PM ET | -148at BetRivers | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 60% to break even17 of 35 at home | -20.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 shots on goalJake Sanderson · Today 7:08 PM ET | +125at DraftKings | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 44% to break even14 of 35 at home | -22.0Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 shots on goalJake Sanderson · Today 7:08 PM ET | -160at FanDuel | 43 of 67· last season64%needs 62% to break even21 of 35 at home | Record is last season's | -23.6Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsJake Sanderson · Today 7:08 PM ET | +120at DraftKings | 31 of 67· last season46%needs 45% to break even18 of 35 at home | Record is last season's | -24.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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