This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 45% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% | 0.8assists |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 45% to break even | 13%–56% | 15 points shortwon 30%, needs 45% | 0.5assists |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 45% to break even | 22%–61% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% | 0.5assists |
| This season | 1 of 333%needs 45% to break even | 8%–75% | 12 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% | 0.7assists |
| Last season | 31 of 6746%needs 45% to break even | 37%–56% | 1 points betterwon 46%, needs 45% | 0.6assists |
| Every game | 32 of 7046%needs 45% to break even | 36%–55% | evenwon 46%, needs 45% | 0.6assists |
Tonight OTT plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NYR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 18 of 35 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against over 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 assistsJake Sanderson · Today 7:08 PM ET | -148at BetRivers | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 60% to break even17 of 35 at home | -20.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.