This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 45% to break even | 5%–56% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 45% to break even | 19%–65% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 45% to break even | 22%–61% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| This season | 4 of 850%needs 45% to break even | 25%–75% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 26 of 5448%needs 45% to break even | 37%–59% | 3 points betterwon 48%, needs 45% |
| Every game |
Tonight CHI plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MTL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Shots on goal in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 shots on goalSam Rinzel |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsSam Rinzel · Today 8:10 PM ET |
| 38%–59% |
| 3 points betterwon 48%, needs 45% |
| Date | Opponent | Shots on goal | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| -137at BetOnline |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 58% to break even |
| -19.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +8000at BetRivers |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even |
| -1.1Not beating its price |
| Yes anytime goalSam Rinzel · Today 8:10 PM ET | +800at FanDuel | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 11% to break even | -6.6Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsSam Rinzel · Today 8:10 PM ET | +163at BetRivers | 13 of 54· last season24%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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