This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 11% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 11% to break even | 0%–35% | 11 points shortwon 0%, needs 11% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 11% to break even | 7%–46% | 9 points betterwon 20%, needs 11% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 11% to break even | 5%–33% | 2 points betterwon 13%, needs 11% |
| This season | 1 of 813%needs 11% to break even | 3%–41% | 1 points betterwon 13%, needs 11% |
| Last season | 4 of 547%needs 11% to break even | 3%–16% | 4 points shortwon 7%, needs 11% |
| Every game |
Tonight CHI plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MTL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Anytime goal in each game against yes, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Anytime goal | Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsSam Rinzel · Today 8:10 PM ET |
| 5 of 628%needs 11% to break even |
| 4%–16% |
| 3 points shortwon 8%, needs 11% |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| +8000at BetRivers |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even |
| -1.1Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 shots on goalSam Rinzel · Today 8:10 PM ET | -137at BetOnline | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 58% to break even | -19.2Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 shots on goalSam Rinzel · Today 8:10 PM ET | +120at DraftKings | 26 of 54· last season48%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.4Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsSam Rinzel · Today 8:10 PM ET | +163at BetRivers | 13 of 54· last season24%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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