This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 45% to break even | 27%–86% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 45% to break even | 35%–81% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 45% to break even | 39%–78% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 45% to break even | 0%–58% | 45 points shortwon 0%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 46 of 8256%needs 45% to break even | 47%–65% | 11 points betterwon 56%, needs 45% |
Tonight MTL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Shots on goal in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 shots on goalOliver Kapanen |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 pointsOliver Kapanen |
| Every game | 46 of 8455%needs 45% to break even | 46%–63% | 9 points betterwon 55%, needs 45% |
| Date | Opponent | Shots on goal | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| -130at BetOnline |
| 36 of 82· last season44%needs 57% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -31.6Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 shots on goalOliver Kapanen · Today 8:10 PM ET | +190at Fanatics | 20 of 82· last season24%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -103at Kalshi |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 51% to break even |
| 15.3Very strong |
| Under 0.5 assistsOliver Kapanen · Today 8:10 PM ET | -200at BetRivers | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 67% to break even | 7.8Good |
| Over 2.5 goalsOliver Kapanen · Today 8:10 PM ET | +17500at FanDuel | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even | -0.5Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 power-play pointsOliver Kapanen · Today 8:10 PM ET | -480at BetRivers | 81 of 82· last season99%needs 83% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 goalsOliver Kapanen · Today 8:10 PM ET | +3000at DraftKings | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 3% to break even | -3.0Not beating its price |
| Yes anytime goalOliver Kapanen · Today 8:10 PM ET | +310at DraftKings | 22 of 82· last season27%needs 24% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.4Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 power-play pointsOliver Kapanen · Today 8:10 PM ET | +330at Bovada | 1 of 82· last season1%needs 23% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.9Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsOliver Kapanen · Today 8:10 PM ET | +190at BetMGM | 12 of 82· last season15%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.1Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsOliver Kapanen · Today 8:10 PM ET | +100at DraftKings | 30 of 82· last season37%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -39.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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