This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 24% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 24% to break even | 0%–35% | 24 points shortwon 0%, needs 24% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 24% to break even | 0%–21% | 24 points shortwon 0%, needs 24% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 24% to break even | 5%–33% | 11 points shortwon 13%, needs 24% |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 24% to break even | 0%–58% | 24 points shortwon 0%, needs 24% |
| Last season | 22 of 8227%needs 24% to break even | 20%–36% | 2 points betterwon 27%, needs 24% |
| Every game | 22 of 8426%needs 24% to break even | 19%–35% | 2 points betterwon 26%, needs 24% |
Tonight MTL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Anytime goal in each game against yes, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Anytime goal | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.