This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 52% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 52% to break even | 39%–78% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| This season | 5 of 956%needs 52% to break even | 30%–78% | 3 points betterwon 56%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 45 of 8156%needs 52% to break even | 46%–64% | 3 points betterwon 56%, needs 52% |
| Every game |
Tonight MTL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Shots on goal in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 shots on goalCole Caufield |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goalsCole Caufield · Today 8:10 PM ET |
| 50 of 9056%needs 52% to break even |
| 47%–64% |
| 3 points betterwon 56%, needs 52% |
| Date | Opponent | Shots on goal | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 | 10 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 6 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| +105at BetMGM |
| 36 of 81· last season44%needs 49% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -20.8Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 shots on goalCole Caufield · Today 8:10 PM ET | +200at Fanatics | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 33% to break even | -10.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +4000at BetMGM |
| 2 of 81· last season2%needs 2% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -2.2Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 pointsCole Caufield · Today 8:10 PM ET | +210at BetMGM | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 32% to break even | -3.6Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 goalsCole Caufield · Today 8:10 PM ET | +775at BetMGM | 12 of 81· last season15%needs 11% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsCole Caufield · Today 8:10 PM ET | -135at DraftKings | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 57% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 power-play pointsCole Caufield · Today 8:10 PM ET | -275at BetMGM | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 73% to break even | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 pointsCole Caufield · Today 8:10 PM ET | +188at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 35% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 goalsCole Caufield · Today 8:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 37 of 81· last season46%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Yes anytime goalCole Caufield · Today 8:10 PM ET | +115at DraftKings | 37 of 81· last season46%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 power-play pointsCole Caufield · Today 8:10 PM ET | +205at BetRivers | 23 of 81· last season28%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.6Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 goalsCole Caufield · Today 8:10 PM ET | -150at FanDuel | 44 of 81· last season54%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 pointsCole Caufield · Today 8:10 PM ET | -218at Kalshi | 57 of 81· last season70%needs 69% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.3Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsCole Caufield · Today 8:10 PM ET | +130at BetMGM | 34 of 81· last season42%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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