This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 73% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 73% to break even | 44%–95% | 7 points betterwon 80%, needs 73% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 73% to break even | 65%–98% | 17 points betterwon 90%, needs 73% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 73% to break even | 59%–92% | 7 points betterwon 80%, needs 73% |
| This season | 8 of 989%needs 73% to break even | 62%–97% | 16 points betterwon 89%, needs 73% |
| Last season | 58 of 8172%needs 73% to break even | 63%–79% | 2 points shortwon 72%, needs 73% |
| Every game | 66 of 9073%needs 73% to break even | 65%–80% | evenwon 73%, needs 73% |
Tonight MTL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Power-play points in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Power-play points | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 power-play pointsCole Caufield · Today 8:10 PM ET | +205at BetRivers | 23 of 81· last season28%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.