This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 1% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 1% to break even | 0%–35% | 1 points shortwon 0%, needs 1% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 1% to break even | 0%–21% | 1 points shortwon 0%, needs 1% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 150%needs 1% to break even | 0%–15% | 1 points shortwon 0%, needs 1% |
| This season | 0 of 90%needs 1% to break even | 0%–23% | 1 points shortwon 0%, needs 1% |
| Last season | 2 of 803%needs 1% to break even | 1%–7% | 1 points betterwon 3%, needs 1% |
| Every game |
Tonight MTL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Goals in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 pointsNoah Dobson · Today 8:10 PM ET |
| 1%–7% |
| 1 points betterwon 2%, needs 1% |
| Date | Opponent | Goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| -120at BetMGM |
| 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 55% to break even |
| -2.4Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 shots on goalNoah Dobson · Today 8:10 PM ET | +100at DraftKings | 50 of 80· last season63%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsNoah Dobson · Today 8:10 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 63% to break even | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Yes anytime goalNoah Dobson · Today 8:10 PM ET | +600at DraftKings | 10 of 80· last season13%needs 14% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 shots on goalNoah Dobson · Today 8:10 PM ET | +230at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 30% to break even | -21.3Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsNoah Dobson · Today 8:10 PM ET | +140at BetRivers | 26 of 80· last season33%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 shots on goalNoah Dobson · Today 8:10 PM ET | -105at BetMGM | 30 of 80· last season38%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsNoah Dobson · Today 8:10 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 34 of 80· last season43%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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