This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 14% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 14% to break even | 0%–35% | 14 points shortwon 0%, needs 14% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 14% to break even | 0%–21% | 14 points shortwon 0%, needs 14% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 150%needs 14% to break even | 0%–15% | 14 points shortwon 0%, needs 14% |
| This season | 0 of 90%needs 14% to break even | 0%–23% | 14 points shortwon 0%, needs 14% |
| Last season | 10 of 8013%needs 14% to break even | 8%–20% | 2 points shortwon 13%, needs 14% |
| Every game | 10 of 89 |
Tonight MTL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Anytime goal in each game against yes, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Anytime goal | Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsNoah Dobson · Today 8:10 PM ET |
| 7%–18% |
| 3 points shortwon 11%, needs 14% |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| +8000at DraftKings |
| 2 of 80· last season3%needs 1% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -1.0Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 pointsNoah Dobson · Today 8:10 PM ET | -120at BetMGM | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 55% to break even | -2.4Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 shots on goalNoah Dobson · Today 8:10 PM ET | +100at DraftKings | 50 of 80· last season63%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsNoah Dobson · Today 8:10 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 63% to break even | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 shots on goalNoah Dobson · Today 8:10 PM ET | +230at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 30% to break even | -21.3Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsNoah Dobson · Today 8:10 PM ET | +140at BetRivers | 26 of 80· last season33%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 shots on goalNoah Dobson · Today 8:10 PM ET | -105at BetMGM | 30 of 80· last season38%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsNoah Dobson · Today 8:10 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 34 of 80· last season43%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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