This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 49% to break even | 27%–86% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 49% to break even | 35%–81% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 49% to break even | 33%–72% | 5 points betterwon 53%, needs 49% |
| This season | 5 of 956%needs 49% to break even | 30%–78% | 7 points betterwon 56%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 32 of 7543%needs 49% to break even | 34%–52% | 6 points shortwon 43%, needs 49% |
Tonight COL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Shots on goal in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 shots on goalCale Makar |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsCale Makar · Today 9:10 PM ET |
| Every game | 37 of 8444%needs 49% to break even | 35%–53% | 4 points shortwon 44%, needs 49% |
| Date | Opponent | Shots on goal | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 14 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 9 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| -125at DraftKings |
| 43 of 75· last season57%needs 56% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -27.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +3500at DraftKings |
| 1 of 9· this season11%needs 3% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -1.1Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 pointsCale Makar · Today 9:10 PM ET | +230at DraftKings | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 30% to break even | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsCale Makar · Today 9:10 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 45 of 75· last season60%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Yes anytime goalCale Makar · Today 9:10 PM ET | +340at DraftKings | 17 of 75· last season23%needs 23% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 power-play pointsCale Makar · Today 9:10 PM ET | -235at BetMGM | 54 of 75· last season72%needs 70% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.6Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsCale Makar · Today 9:10 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 53 of 75· last season71%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 pointsCale Makar · Today 9:10 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 22 of 75· last season29%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 power-play pointsCale Makar · Today 9:10 PM ET | +170at BetMGM | 21 of 75· last season28%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsCale Makar · Today 9:10 PM ET | +106at BetRivers | 30 of 75· last season40%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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