This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 62% to break even | 5%–56% | 42 points shortwon 20%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 62% to break even | 27%–73% | 12 points shortwon 50%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 62% to break even | 28%–67% | 15 points shortwon 47%, needs 62% |
| This season | 4 of 944%needs 62% to break even | 22%–70% | 17 points shortwon 44%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 39 of 6362%needs 62% to break even | 52%–71% | evenwon 62%, needs 62% |
| Every game |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against COL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Shots on goal in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 shots on goalBrayden Point |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 power-play pointsBrayden Point |
| 50%–69% |
| 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% |
| Date | Opponent | Shots on goal | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| +115at DraftKings |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 47% to break even |
| -13.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 shots on goalBrayden Point · Today 9:10 PM ET | -235at BetMGM | 42 of 63· last season67%needs 70% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -300at BetMGM |
| 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 75% to break even |
| 2.0Slight |
| Over 2.5 goalsBrayden Point · Today 9:10 PM ET | +12500at FanDuel | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even | -0.7Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 goalsBrayden Point · Today 9:10 PM ET | +2000at FanDuel | 2 of 63· last season3%needs 5% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsBrayden Point · Today 9:10 PM ET | +160at BetMGM | 26 of 63· last season41%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 pointsBrayden Point · Today 9:10 PM ET | +120at BetMGM | 27 of 63· last season43%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.4Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 power-play pointsBrayden Point · Today 9:10 PM ET | +330at Bovada | 10 of 63· last season16%needs 23% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 goalsBrayden Point · Today 9:10 PM ET | +266at Kalshi | 16 of 63· last season25%needs 27% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsBrayden Point · Today 9:10 PM ET | -132at BetRivers | 36 of 63· last season57%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
| Yes anytime goalBrayden Point · Today 9:10 PM ET | +230at FanDuel | 16 of 63· last season25%needs 30% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.8Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsBrayden Point · Today 9:10 PM ET | -195at DraftKings | 37 of 63· last season59%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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