This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 73% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 73% to break even | 27%–86% | 13 points shortwon 60%, needs 73% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 73% to break even | 44%–87% | 3 points shortwon 70%, needs 73% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 73% to break even | 52%–87% | evenwon 73%, needs 73% |
| This season | 6 of 967%needs 73% to break even | 40%–86% | 7 points shortwon 67%, needs 73% |
| Last season | 55 of 8168%needs 73% to break even | 59%–76% | 5 points shortwon 68%, needs 73% |
| Every game |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against COL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Power-play points in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 power-play pointsJake Guentzel |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goalsJake Guentzel · Today 9:10 PM ET |
| 59%–75% |
| 6 points shortwon 68%, needs 73% |
| Date | Opponent | Power-play points | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| +205at BetRivers |
| 26 of 81· last season32%needs 33% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -16.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +8000at BetMGM |
| 1 of 81· last season1%needs 1% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -1.1Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 goalsJake Guentzel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +1500at FanDuel | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 6% to break even | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Yes anytime goalJake Guentzel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +200at FanDuel | 32 of 81· last season40%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 goalsJake Guentzel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +200at BetMGM | 32 of 81· last season40%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 shots on goalJake Guentzel · Today 9:10 PM ET | -135at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 57% to break even | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsJake Guentzel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +145at BetMGM | 38 of 81· last season47%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsJake Guentzel · Today 9:10 PM ET | -155at BetRivers | 56 of 81· last season69%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 pointsJake Guentzel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +135at DraftKings | 25 of 81· last season31%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsJake Guentzel · Today 9:10 PM ET | -160at DraftKings | 43 of 81· last season53%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 shots on goalJake Guentzel · Today 9:10 PM ET | +115at BetMGM | 39 of 81· last season48%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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