This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 55% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 55% to break even | 27%–73% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 55% to break even | 22%–61% | 15 points shortwon 40%, needs 55% |
| This season | 5 of 1050%needs 55% to break even | 27%–73% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 36 of 7747%needs 55% to break even | 38%–56% | 8 points shortwon 47%, needs 55% |
| Every game |
Tonight COL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 pointsNazem Kadri · Today 9:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goalsNazem Kadri · Today 9:10 PM ET |
| 39%–56% |
| 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 55% |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 30 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| +101at Kalshi |
| 41 of 77· last season53%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -16.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +17500at FanDuel |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even |
| -0.5Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 goalsNazem Kadri · Today 9:10 PM ET | +2500at DraftKings | 1 of 15· last 15 games7%needs 4% to break even | -3.0Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 power-play pointsNazem Kadri · Today 9:10 PM ET | -420at BetRivers | 60 of 77· last season78%needs 81% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.5Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsNazem Kadri · Today 9:10 PM ET | +150at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 40% to break even | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 power-play pointsNazem Kadri · Today 9:10 PM ET | +270at BetMGM | 17 of 77· last season22%needs 27% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Yes anytime goalNazem Kadri · Today 9:10 PM ET | +295at DraftKings | 14 of 77· last season18%needs 25% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.8Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 shots on goalNazem Kadri · Today 9:10 PM ET | -111at BetMGM | 40 of 77· last season52%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.1Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 shots on goalNazem Kadri · Today 9:10 PM ET | -115at DraftKings | 37 of 77· last season48%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsNazem Kadri · Today 9:10 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 50 of 77· last season65%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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