This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 19% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 19% to break even | 14%–73% | 21 points betterwon 40%, needs 19% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 19% to break even | 7%–46% | 1 points betterwon 20%, needs 19% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1020%needs 19% to break even | 7%–46% | 1 points betterwon 20%, needs 19% |
| This season | 2 of 1020%needs 19% to break even | 7%–46% | 1 points betterwon 20%, needs 19% |
| Every game | 2 of 1020%needs 19% to break even | 7%–46% | 1 points better |
Tonight COL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Anytime goal in each game against yes, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsT.J. Hughes · Today 9:10 PM ET |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| +4500at DraftKings |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 2% to break even |
| -1.4Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 power-play pointsT.J. Hughes · Today 9:10 PM ET | -670at BetRivers | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 87% to break even | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 shots on goalT.J. Hughes · Today 9:10 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -10.4Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 power-play pointsT.J. Hughes · Today 9:10 PM ET | +380at BetMGM | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 21% to break even | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsT.J. Hughes · Today 9:10 PM ET | +165at BetRivers | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 38% to break even | -16.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 shots on goalT.J. Hughes · Today 9:10 PM ET | +100at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 50% to break even | -24.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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