This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 48% to break even | 44%–95% | 32 points betterwon 80%, needs 48% | won by 1goals |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 48% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points betterwon 50%, needs 48% | won by 0.4goals |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 48% to break even | 28%–67% | 1 points shortwon 47%, needs 48% | won by 0.1goals |
| This season | 5 of 1050%needs 48% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points betterwon 50%, needs 48% | won by 0.4goals |
| Last season | 34 of 8839%needs 48% to break even | 31%–47% | 9 points shortwon 39%, needs 48% | won by 0.1goals |
| Every game | 39 of 9840%needs 48% to break even | 32%–48% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% | won by 0.1goals |
Tonight DAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 22 of 49 at home.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
3rd period margin in each game against DAL -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 3rd period margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 2 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.