This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 36% to break even | 5%–56% | 16 points shortwon 20%, needs 36% | 0.4points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 36% to break even | 27%–73% | 14 points betterwon 50%, needs 36% | 0.8points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 36% to break even | 28%–67% | 10 points betterwon 47%, needs 36% | 0.7points |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 36% to break even | 12%–65% | 3 points shortwon 33%, needs 36% | 0.7points |
| Last season |
Tonight CBJ plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against VGK. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 14 of 38 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This player's other props in the game.
| 28%–46% |
| evenwon 37%, needs 36% |
| 0.5points |
| Every game | 28 of 7736%needs 36% to break even | 28%–46% | evenwon 36%, needs 36% | 0.5points |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| +8000at BetRivers |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even0 of 38 at home |
| -1.2Not beating its price |
| Scores a goalDamon Severson · Today 7:10 PM ET | +850at DraftKings | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 11% to break even5 of 38 at home | -2.2Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 shots on goalDamon Severson · Today 7:10 PM ET | -103at BetRivers | 25 of 71· last season35%needs 51% to break even14 of 38 at home | Record is last season's | -33.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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