This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 11% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 11% to break even | 0%–35% | 11 points shortwon 0%, needs 11% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 11% to break even | 13%–56% | 19 points betterwon 30%, needs 11% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 11% to break even | 13%–48% | 16 points betterwon 27%, needs 11% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 11% to break even | 4%–50% | 6 points betterwon 17%, needs 11% |
| Last season | 8 of 7111%needs 11% to break even | 6%–19% | 1 points better |
Tonight CBJ plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against VGK. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 38 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Damon Severson game, newest first: whether Severson scored a goal.
This player's other props in the game.
| Every game | 9 of 7712%needs 11% to break even | 7%–19% | 1 points betterwon 12%, needs 11% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 20 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | Scored | Won | |
| Last season | |||
| Mar 26 | Scored | Won | |
| Mar 24 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | Scored | Won | |
| Mar 19 | Scored | Won | |
| Mar 17 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | Scored | Won | |
| Mar 5 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | No goal | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | No goal | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | No goal | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | No goal | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | No goal | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | Scored | Won | |
| Jan 30 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | No goal | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | Scored | Won | |
| Dec 28 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | Scored | Won | |
| Dec 4 | No goal | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | No goal | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | Scored | Won | |
| Oct 16 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | No goal | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | No goal | Lost | |
| +8000at BetRivers |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even0 of 38 at home |
| -1.2Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsDamon Severson · Today 7:10 PM ET | +175at BetRivers | 26 of 71· last season37%needs 36% to break even14 of 38 at home | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 shots on goalDamon Severson · Today 7:10 PM ET | -103at BetRivers | 25 of 71· last season35%needs 51% to break even14 of 38 at home | Record is last season's | -33.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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