This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 2% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 2% to break even | 5%–56% | 18 points betterwon 20%, needs 2% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 2% to break even | 2%–35% | 8 points betterwon 10%, needs 2% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 2% to break even | 2%–25% | 4 points betterwon 7%, needs 2% |
| This season | 1 of 1010%needs 2% to break even | 2%–35% | 8 points betterwon 10%, needs 2% |
| Last season | 1 of 761%needs 2% to break even | 0%–6% | 1 points shortwon 1%, needs 2% |
Tonight MIN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against CGY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 pointsMatt Boldy · Today 9:10 PM ET |
| Every game | 2 of 862%needs 2% to break even | 1%–7% | evenwon 2%, needs 2% |
| Date | Opponent | Goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 1 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 11 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| +160at DraftKings |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 38% to break even |
| -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 pointsMatt Boldy · Today 9:10 PM ET | +210at Fanatics | 24 of 76· last season32%needs 32% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 assistsMatt Boldy · Today 9:10 PM ET | -120at BetRivers | 43 of 76· last season57%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.3Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 power-play pointsMatt Boldy · Today 9:10 PM ET | -275at BetMGM | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 73% to break even | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 shots on goalMatt Boldy · Today 9:10 PM ET | +185at Fanatics | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 35% to break even | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 shots on goalMatt Boldy · Today 9:10 PM ET | -102at FanDuel | 45 of 76· last season59%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.0Not beating its price |
| Yes anytime goalMatt Boldy · Today 9:10 PM ET | +140at FanDuel | 34 of 76· last season45%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 shots on goalMatt Boldy · Today 9:10 PM ET | -111at BetMGM | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -21.2Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 assistsMatt Boldy · Today 9:10 PM ET | +130at BetMGM | 33 of 76· last season43%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 power-play pointsMatt Boldy · Today 9:10 PM ET | +188at BetMGM | 26 of 76· last season34%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 pointsMatt Boldy · Today 9:10 PM ET | -278at BetOnline | 52 of 76· last season68%needs 74% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.6Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 pointsMatt Boldy · Today 9:10 PM ET | -220at DraftKings | 49 of 76· last season64%needs 69% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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