This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 58% to break even | 14%–73% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 58% to break even | 19%–65% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 58% to break even | 33%–72% | 5 points shortwon 53%, needs 58% |
| This season | 2 of 450%needs 58% to break even | 18%–82% | 8 points shortwon 50%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 10 of 1953%needs 58% to break even | 35%–70% | 5 points shortwon 53%, needs 58% |
| Every game |
Tonight LAR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against LV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against under 8.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 receptionsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
| 36%–68% |
| 6 points shortwon 52%, needs 58% |
| 6 |
| +2.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 17 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 21 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 20 | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 19 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 2 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| -135at BetOnline |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 57% to break even |
| -23.4Not beating its price |
| Over 8.5 receptionsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | +117at BetRivers | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 46% to break even | -15.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -112at Kalshi |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even |
| -16.2Not beating its price |
| Over 99.5 receiving yardsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | +114at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 47% to break even | -17.8Not beating its price |
| Under 97.5 receiving yardsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -110at DraftKings | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Under 99.5 receiving yardsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -113at BetRivers | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.8Not beating its price |
| Under 98.5 receiving yardsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -115at BetOnline | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.2Not beating its price |
| Over 96.5 receiving yardsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 53% to break even | -21.3Not beating its price |
| Over 98.5 receiving yardsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -112at BetOnline | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even | -22.8Not beating its price |
| Under 96.5 receiving yardsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 19· last season53%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.9Not beating its price |
| Over 97.5 receiving yardsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -114at DraftKings | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even | -23.2Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -107at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 52% to break even | -25.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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