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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Puka Nacua over 97.5 receiving yards
Won7 of 15last 15 games · 47%
Best price-114DraftKings
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game10 of 23this season and last
Trend score-23.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 53% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% |
| This season | 2 of 450%needs 53% to break even | 18%–82% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 8 of 1942%needs 53% to break even | 26%–61% | 11 points shortwon 42%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 10 of 2343%needs 53% to break even | 28%–60% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 53% |
Games like tonight
Tonight LAR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against LV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Puka Nacua over 97.5 receiving yards3 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against over 97.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 97.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  ARI | 80 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  BUF | 138 | +40.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  PHI | 125 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  SF | 74 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 21 |  SEA | 165 | +67.5 | Won |
| Wk 20 |  CHI | 56 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Wk 19 |  CAR | 111 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 | ARI | 76 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  ATL | 47 | -50.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | SEA | 225 | +127.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  DET | 181 | +83.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | ARI | 167 | +69.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | CAR | 72 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  TB | 97 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | SEA | 75 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | SF | 64 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  NO | 95 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  BAL | 28 | -69.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | SF | 85 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  IND | 170 | +72.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | PHI | 112 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  TEN | 91 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  HOU | 130 | +32.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 96.5 receiving yardsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  -114at FanDuel | 10 of 19· last season53%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 97.5 receiving yardsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  -110at DraftKings | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 98.5 receiving yardsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  -115at BetOnline | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 99.5 receiving yardsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  -113at BetRivers | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Puka Nacua in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 receptionsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | +117at BetRivers | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 46% to break even | -15.0Not beating its price | ||
| Scores a TDPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  -112at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -16.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 7.5 receptionsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  +115at Fanatics | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 47% to break even | -18.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 7.5 receptionsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -135at BetOnline | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 57% to break even | -23.4Not beating its price | ||
| Doesn't score a TDPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -107at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 52% to break even | -25.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 8.5 receptionsPuka Nacua · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -138at FanDuel | 10 of 19· last season53%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.