This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 62% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 62% to break even | 35%–81% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 62% to break even | 28%–67% | 15 points shortwon 47%, needs 62% |
| This season | 3 of 475%needs 62% to break even | 36%–94% | 13 points betterwon 75%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 4 of 1233%needs 62% to break even | 16%–57% | 28 points shortwon 33%, needs 62% |
| Every game |
Tonight LV plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against over 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 receptionsBrock Bowers |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDBrock Bowers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
| 26%–64% |
| 18 points shortwon 44%, needs 62% |
| 6 |
| +0.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 3 | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 16 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 1 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 12 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| -139at DraftKings |
| 10 of 12· last season83%needs 58% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -12.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +119at Kalshi |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 46% to break even |
| -11.8Not beating its price |
| Under 73.5 receiving yardsBrock Bowers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Under 70.5 receiving yardsBrock Bowers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Over 69.5 receiving yardsBrock Bowers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 4 of 4· this season100%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.2Not beating its price |
| Under 69.5 receiving yardsBrock Bowers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.0Not beating its price |
| Over 70.5 receiving yardsBrock Bowers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at DraftKings | 3 of 4· this season75%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -24.5Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDBrock Bowers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.0Not beating its price |
| Over 73.5 receiving yardsBrock Bowers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 3 of 4· this season75%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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