This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 53% to break even | 44%–87% | 17 points betterwon 70%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 53% to break even | 52%–87% | 20 points betterwon 73%, needs 53% |
| This season | 1 of 425%needs 53% to break even | 6%–64% | 28 points shortwon 25%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 10 of 1283%needs 53% to break even | 60%–94% | 30 points betterwon 83%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 11 of 1669%needs 53% to break even | 48%–84% | 15 points betterwon 69%, needs 53% |
Tonight LV plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 73.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 73.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 70 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 110 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 86 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 116 | -42.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 16 | 33 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 28 | +45.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 46 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 63 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 55 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 72 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 31 | +42.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 127 | -53.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 46 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 38 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 38 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 103 | -29.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 69.5 receiving yardsBrock Bowers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 4 of 4· this season100%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 70.5 receiving yardsBrock Bowers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at DraftKings | 3 of 4· this season75%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -24.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 73.5 receiving yardsBrock Bowers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 3 of 4· this season75%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDBrock Bowers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 45% to break even | -11.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 6.5 receptionsBrock Bowers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -139at DraftKings | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 6.5 receptionsBrock Bowers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +116at FanDuel | 2 of 4· this season50%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 receptionsBrock Bowers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -162at BetRivers | 3 of 4· this season75%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -26.0Not beating its price | |
| Doesn't score a TDBrock Bowers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.