This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 57% to break even | 27%–86% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 57% to break even | 19%–65% | 17 points shortwon 40%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 57% to break even | 28%–67% | 10 points shortwon 47%, needs 57% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 57% to break even | 22%–78% | 7 points shortwon 50%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 8 of 1553%needs 57% to break even | 33%–72% | 3 points shortwon 53%, needs 57% |
| Every game |
Tonight LAR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against LV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 0 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 receiving yardsDavis Allen |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 receptionsDavis Allen · |
| 35%–69% |
| 4 points shortwon 52%, needs 57% |
| 24 |
| -14.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 4 | 0 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 19 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 13 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 0 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 34 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 21 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 4 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 29 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 37 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 4 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 24 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 0 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 13 | -3.5 | Lost |
| -113at DraftKings |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even |
| -20.9Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsDavis Allen · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 51% to break even | -19.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -231at DraftKings |
| 14 of 15· last season93%needs 70% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -15.6Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 receptionsDavis Allen · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +182at FanDuel | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 35% to break even | -21.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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