This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 66% to break even | 14%–73% | 26 points shortwon 40%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 66% to break even | 27%–73% | 16 points shortwon 50%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 66% to break even | 28%–67% | 19 points shortwon 47%, needs 66% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 66% to break even | 12%–65% | 32 points shortwon 33%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 14 of 2070%needs 66% to break even | 52%–84% | 4 points betterwon 70%, needs 66% |
| Every game | 16 of 2662%needs 66% to break even | 45%–75% | 4 points shortwon 62%, needs 66% |
Tonight LAR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against LV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against lar to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 22 | +22 | Won | |
| Sep 10 | -20 | -20 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 25 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 28 | +28 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 27 | +27 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 16 | +16 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 24 | +24 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 28 | +28 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 14 | +14 | Won | |
| Oct 2 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 14 | +14 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.